Semiconductor stocks tend to be quite volatile mainly due to the news cycle that surrounds them. All things considered, the current valuations are quite cheap. Meanwhile, analysts are currently forecasting a forward P/E of 17-18x. Looking at the fundamentals the current forward price-to-earnings stands at a relatively moderate level trading at 30x. The continued rollouts mean that the product cycle is likely to continue to see demand, thereby ensuring that revenue growth remains within the expectations of the market. The release of the chips will be quickly followed by the next generation of Zen 5 chips, which will be released somewhere in 2024. The Zen 4 chips will be built on the 5-nanometer processor, and are expected to be up to 29%-30% faster than the previous Zen 3 chips. But issues that continue to hamper supply in the short term as material shortages, stemming from supply chain disruptions in China, and water shortages continue to affect the market. New supply is expected to slowly come through in 20, which may finally ease up the current shortages, as plants across the United States, and Asia (Japan), open up. The demand for data center chips has helped balance out the weakness in other areas and AMD has increasingly started to bet on data centers in order to continue its pace growth, with AMD's Pesando deal re-iterating the strategy of concentrating resources on data centers, which is clearly paying off.ĬEO AMD "This is all for us … doubling down on the data center," "Of course, we love our traditional PC and gaming markets but the data center is the most strategic area" for future growth." Supply Chains Exacerbate Shortages ![]() While electronics are showing signs of a slowdown, the auto market has been quickly recovering, and more and more large companies such as Amazon, continue to invest in backend infrastructure in anticipation of long-term demand, although the pace of investment has slowed down in recent times. ![]() Prices also remain higher than in the past few years, although they have come down in recent times, even if only slightly, and the high prices are leading to generous margins for chip makers Some of that is due to demand for electronics, and demand has slowed down for them when compared to previous years, but the supply of semiconductors remains a problem with demand from autos and network-based demand keeping supply in check. AMD isn't the only semiconductor company facing headwinds, other competitors such as NVIDIA (NASDAQ: NVDA) have also witnessed their stock retreat.ĪMD has been continuing to perform well, and with the Zen4 architecture, and Xilinx chips, and when combined with the demand for the older chips, the stock may be oversold. Analysts are currently torn between whether there will be a chip shortage, or a glut going into 2023, and the mixed news is clearly leading to a negative outlook. While the fall in price is currently primarily segregated to the secondary market, the price decline is now starting to affect the primary sales as well. ![]() ![]() In addition to the potential glut, that is expected to come in 2023, AMD is now witnessing the price fall for some of its chips. AMD (NASDAQ: AMD) stock has declined for the past year, on fears that the semiconductor market is heading for a glut, mainly as fears of a global slowdown weigh on sentiment, after this years of shortages.
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